Recently, Yao Jie, Deputy Secretary General of the China Automobile Association, told reporters that the most important contradiction in the implementation of the four national emission standards for commercial vehicles is the “inconsistent vehicle oil†and the escalation of oil upgrading. It is expected that PetroChina and Sinopec will complete the country by the end of 2014. With the full coverage of the four diesel vehicles, it will be more ideal to implement the National IV emission standards nationwide.
The delay in the upgrading of oil products dragged down the implementation of State IV. All the ministries and commissions disputed the timing of implementation. Yao Jie told reporters that the current four emission standards for commercial vehicles have been postponed twice. The main difficulty lies in the delay in the supply of oil products. Can not meet the demand. According to the previously established diesel quality upgrade roadmap, the national standard diesel was able to be covered nationwide by the end of 2014. Therefore, the National IV emission standard was implemented after the full coverage of the National IV diesel at the end of 2014.
It is reported that the fourth national standard for commercial vehicles was promulgated in 2005. At that time, since July 1, 2011, all manufactured and sold light vehicle pollutants must meet the requirements of the National IV standard. Since then, as the National IV vehicle diesel standard has not yet been introduced, and it is still not possible to ensure that the corresponding vehicle diesel is supplied nationwide, it has decided to postpone the implementation of the National IV standard until July 1, 2013. However, the relevant ministries suddenly booed as they approached execution. On July 1, 2013, only 19 regions including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Urumqi and Lanzhou strictly implemented the National IV standard.
The reporter learned that at the end of 2013, it was rumored in the industry that the four emission standards for commercial vehicles will be fully implemented on the New Year's Day in 2014. However, at the end of the year, major domestic heavy truck companies negotiated with the ministries and commissions of the Ministry of Environmental Protection, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other ministries and commissions about the implementation of the Fourth National Standard, and the specific implementation time has not reached a consensus.
An industry source disclosed to reporters that the current discussion on the National 4 emission standards is more complicated. Although the government occupies a dominant position in the implementation of the National IV standard, various ministries and commissions also have different opinions on the timing of the implementation of the National IV emissions, and at the same time, they must also consider the demands of car companies and associations. The final execution time remains to be played by ministries, associations, and companies.
The implementation time of the national IV emissions will affect the trend of the heavy truck market in 2014. The reporter learned earlier that in order to deal with the impact of the mandatory implementation of the heavy truck IV emission standards, distributors of Foton Motor, China National Heavy Duty Truck, Dongfeng Automobile, Shaanxi Heavy Duty Truck and many other places were in 2013. Decrease the price before the end of the year and hope to handle the inventory as soon as possible.
Affected by the rumored implementation of the Fourth National Emission Standard, the heavy-duty truck market experienced rapid growth in 2013. A total of 774,000 vehicles were sold in the year, a year-on-year increase of 21.7%. Dongfeng Motor sold 166,000 heavy trucks, a year-on-year increase of 26.7%; FAW liberated 131,000 vehicles, an increase of 23.9% year-on-year; China National Heavy Duty Truck sold 121,000 vehicles, an increase of 10.9% year-on-year; Foton Motors sold 128,000 heavy trucks, a year-on-year increase. 46.49%; Shaanxi Automobile sold 102,000 heavy trucks, a year-on-year increase of 21%.
Previously, the reporter learned from a number of persons familiar with the heavy-duty truck industry that when the National IV emissions standard for commercial vehicles was implemented nationwide, it was an important variable faced by the heavy-duty truck industry in 2014.
Zhou Yinchao, general manager of Shaanxi Automobile Sales Company, publicly stated that if the ministries fully implement the National IV standard on January 1, 2014, the heavy truck 2014 sales volume will fall back to about 720,000; if the national standard is fully implemented on July 1, 2014, Heavy truck sales will increase in volume in the first half of the year and it is expected to increase to 800,000 vehicles throughout the year.
In recent years, the heavy truck market has been fluctuating. According to the report's summary, in 2010, a total of 101.74 million heavy trucks were sold nationwide, an increase of 59.93% year-on-year; in 2011, a total of 884,000 heavy trucks were sold nationwide, a decrease of 13.11% year-on-year; in 2012, a total of 633,900 heavy trucks were sold nationwide, a year-on-year decrease of 28%. .
Many people in the heavy truck industry had previously told reporters that if the national IV emission standards were implemented in mid-2014, the sales of heavy trucks would increase in volume before strict implementation, and once the country’s four standards were strictly implemented, heavy truck sales could continue to grow. Great uncertainty.
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